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05-28-2010, 12:12 PM | #1 |
Philosopher King
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Gold standard - Should we go back?
I think we should. I don't like the way the FED messes with the economy. All they have done since their inception is cause a vicious cycle of bubbles and massive crashes.
I think we need to go back to a gold standard to have a concrete foundation for our currency and economy and stop messing with interest rates.
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05-28-2010, 12:21 PM | #2 | |
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and do what? It is too late for that. You go back to the gold standard now and a dollar would be worth 10 cents instead of the 50-60 cents it is worth now. Anyone ever seen the British pound it is like twice what the dollar is worth. We are screwed. |
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05-29-2010, 09:31 PM | #4 | |
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I find it funny that some of the biggest supporters of the gold system often have the least (if any at all) economics education
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05-28-2010, 12:36 PM | #5 |
Philosopher King
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We are screwed because that is where the FED put us. We can go back.
By going back to a gold standard we can see the real value of the dollar and build from there.
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05-28-2010, 12:38 PM | #6 |
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dude, gold standard is NOT a magic bullet that solves all economic ails.
boom bust cycle will still happen under gold standard. root cause of boom bust cycle is not federal reserve or fiat currency. it's caused by people acting like a herd of cattle. when times are good everyone overspends or gets loans. bam rapid growth. when times are bad everyone saves, money circulation drops. bam recession. real argument for gold standard is denying government ability to deficit spent (i.e. tax wealth via inflation) and deny gov control over the money supply. second bit is also its downfall. control of money supply in gold standard is basically tied to the rate of gold production. no way to implement monetary policy. there's nothing inherently wrong with a central bank or monetary policy... the problem is making sure the central bank uses that power responsibly. debate of fiat vs gold is really debate on how much power to allocate to central bank. fiat = alot; gold = very little. |
05-28-2010, 12:45 PM | #8 |
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uh okay. i'm not even sure what that means.
you don't need sweeping governmental changes to bet on your position. solution: don't save in dollars. save all your money in gold (i.e. buy GLD or hold physical gold assets). only keep enough cash on hand as needed for your normal expenses. |
05-28-2010, 01:50 PM | #10 |
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it could be better, the degree to which varies from person to person
but if you want to see really fucked fiat currency run wild, there are better and far crazier examples |
05-28-2010, 02:18 PM | #11 |
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Relatively speaking, the dollar has probably been one of the
more stable currencies in recent history. Inflation has been rampant in the last 10 years or so. But that has prob been more indicative of fed policies and spending from the govt. Im inclined to think a change in policy is a more realistic alternative. Think the economy is healthy enough for an increase in rates. |
05-28-2010, 02:54 PM | #12 |
Philosopher King
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aznpoopy
I know all about the Zimbabwean Dollar. ronmcdon We have seen sharp inflation since the Korean War and the price of gold in America has steadily increases since the inception of the FED. That steady increase is due to the inflation of the currency not a higher demand for gold.
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05-29-2010, 11:17 AM | #13 |
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i think some degree of inflation is not unhealthy.
the economy grows and it's not unreasonable to expect there is a need for more currency to circulate as a result. Imo, there should be a cap as to how much bills can be printed, as to discourage inflation. About the gold standard, I'm skeptical the very limited supply of gold, as a commodity, could sustain the size of any large economy. Gold is around 1,200-1,300-ish/oz (very low supply relative to demand). If this was enacted, I can see very high de-flation, and that isn't great either. Maybe a more modest commodity like silver ($13/oz, higher supply relative to demand, essentially as stable) would be more practical. Interestingly even the Euro isn't doing all that great these days. It's just inevitable that paper currency is volatile to some degree. |
05-30-2010, 01:49 AM | #14 | ||
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10 oz of gold = 10 oz of gold 100 oz of gold = 100 oz of gold What's the physical difference between 1 dollar and 100 dollars? Nothing. The difference between 1 oz of gold and 100 oz is 99 oz a tangible different. Quote:
Most college economic professors are academic blowhards who spent their entire lives in academia. I know mines was. |
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05-29-2010, 12:42 PM | #15 | |
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Gold's "value" comes from the exact same place that the "value" of a dollar comes from.
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05-29-2010, 12:49 PM | #16 | |
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there have been some awesome posts so far... gold standard seems like a nice idea
but as other posters mentioned, it wont work. exchange rates and gold hoarding by countries (i.e. france during the interwar period) really mess with gold-blacked currency. as previously mentioned, increasing gold supply via mining is another issue. the OP really just wants monetary policy to be less less inflationary. that can be accomplished via means other than the gold standard my partisan opinion on excessive govt spending is that its politicians making their jobs easier... i.e. throwing money at the problem rather than fixing it the hard way.
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05-29-2010, 09:29 PM | #21 | |
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what's to say gold will replace it? who's to say that SeaShells won't become the next popular thing?
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05-29-2010, 10:44 PM | #22 |
Philosopher King
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Why would seashells be more valuable than gold?
Unless you find a magic formula to cheaply create gold it's value will not drop.
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05-29-2010, 10:55 PM | #24 |
Philosopher King
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If we have enough to backup the amount of currency in circulation. I don't think that is the case.
Why don't you actually make some kind of counter argument. Implying that I am uneducated and asking me loaded questions is getting old.
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05-30-2010, 01:03 AM | #28 |
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Well shit, in that case I'm Professor Emeritus of Horsemanship, seeing as how I've googled about horses and watched my wife take care of one.
I get that you don't need a professional education to be 'educated', but taking a class that covers all the details/upsides/downsides/pros/cons/causes/effects of a subject GENERALLY helps give a person a very good perspective on a subject. On the other hand, reading websites that are skewed toward a certain perspective tend to NOT make a person 'educated' on a subject. I would offer to illuminate your ignorance via a copy/paste from a macroeconomics textbook, but to be honest, this is kind of fun. Kinda like watching a dog locked into a hot pursuit/fight with its tail. |
05-31-2010, 04:45 PM | #30 | ||
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page one of this thread was pretty good, page two? not so much. too many ig'nant folk taking things personal and refusing to embrace anything but their own ignorance.
bottom line is, if a gold backed currency worked we'd still be on it. blame nixon, blame vietnam war-derived debt, blame your grandma for hoarding too many gold coins under her mattress, bottom line is IT DIDNT WORK then and its too late to pull a U-turn and get back to it (for tons of the reasons already pointed out) for people who think we should revert back to a gold standard checkout the notion of non-gov't based currencies (i.e. debt cards that work of a given fund of gold). its theoretical but somewhat interesting. also check out 'austrian trade theory' of economics, its somewhat of a heterodox but still provides an interesting perspective. as far as defending your sinking ship of why a gold standard is better than fiat money, save your breath. no one is going to be won over to your perspective. Why? because as has been said, if everybody did it, then it would be great, but if one economy did it while the world was fiat then things would get straight weird yo.. imagine if a big economy like china was gold standard and the u.s./saudi arabia/whoever was fiat and wanted to pester those poor guys over in asia. said fiat country could start buying up gold reserves abroad inflating chinas currency and thus disrupting their trade via inflating their currency. worse they could buy up a ton of the worlds gold then dump it and really mess things up for said gold standard country. Anyone defending the gold standard NEEDS to look up what happened in Europe during the interwar period. (if memory serves me well) it went something like this. France was hoarding gold which caused shortages in neighboring countries. france did this to provide some security as it was weary of another war (or whatever reason, probably just because theyre french and like pissing off england). bottom line is... gold standard only caused an unstable time to get more unstable. france did this via cashing out its foreign reserves for gold. imagine if the U.S. was gold standard and suddenly everyone was sick of the u.s. and didnt trust them so major players started cashing out their currency (which is funny, bc the USD is a reserve currency and used worldwide) for gold, the u.s. would be straight faked worse than when this guy tried to rob this for all dis i'm thinking of changing my sigature quote to this one Quote:
p.s. the level of maturity expressed by a majority of people in this thread is impressive (when it comes to alot of Zilvia topics), its just that when threads are one person vs. every other poster they become a skewed back and forth of argument diffusion. its much better when things are more balanced. anyway, carry on and thanks for reading this post... it makes me feel closer to all of you
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