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Old 09-12-2003, 08:49 PM   #31
Warwick5s
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Old 09-12-2003, 09:16 PM   #32
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Call me skeptical, but I don't believe the predictions...namely, no one has ever gotten a hurricane of this power correct. Their are different physics at work called momentum of circular action . It is still going west, had a bobble but still west.


The entire east coast from South Miami Beach to Virgina Beach is wide open. I do not plan to stay around too long. Better safe, than dead.


This stays up to date by hour./. It is the best one on the web.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA...-vis-loop.html


Last 3 hours it looks smaller which means "more wind speed" I would not be surprised if they said it was over 175MPH now...but I am not a weather expert...just lived around them 40 years+ is all. They are unpredicable when this intense. So soon the experts forget. I hope I am proven wrong.

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Old 09-12-2003, 09:40 PM   #33
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Bill , pack it up and head to cali. There are a lot of us here in socal. I am in Los Feliz and would welcome another engineer type that is also a car nut. . Whatever you do save as much as you can and load it into a uhaul if perchance your house does not get hit and totaled you can always take your stuff back. All you would be out would be the cost of the uhaul and the gas.
goodluck and godspeed.
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Old 09-13-2003, 08:03 AM   #34
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latest picture..
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Old 09-13-2003, 11:32 AM   #35
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yeah, i'm in north kakalaki and we're prepping for a hurricane evac. Trying to make a bunch of planes that were going to the bone yard fly. Not something easy. Worked twenty six out of fourty eight hours last "weekend." That sucked, and I might have to get my parents down here to evac my wife and son because the wifey don't drive and I can't leave. Oh well, and good luck to anyone who happens to be in the path of this monster.
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Old 09-13-2003, 04:12 PM   #36
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Hrm, any chance that front in the midwest is heading east to save the day?

NC is a very kind state and protects us in VA (even va beach) quite well but we had a meeting about disaster recovery/planning friday just incase. Hopefully it will break down atleast to a cat3 or lower before it hits land

~200mph gusts sound pretty damn scarry too


This does not look promising

I'm in a 1story brick ranch about 15mi(driving) from the coast of southeastern va (8mi north of nc, driving). Not sure how this will effect us, but I know they don't build buildings near the coast to withstand more than 90mph sustained, we're prolly lower than that being a little bit away from the coast.

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Old 09-13-2003, 06:01 PM   #37
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Hey Bill, whatever you do...be carefull and god bless you. I hope that it does not go your way.
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Old 09-14-2003, 02:33 AM   #38
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Thanks ZC, we all need to watch this thing on the east coast. It has started its turn but ever so slightly. Not out of the woods yet on this thing..no one is..
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Old 09-14-2003, 03:21 AM   #39
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Cool piece of software.

I usually don't download anything unless it is really good...and this is!

http://www.hurricanesoftware.com/twc/
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Old 09-14-2003, 10:05 AM   #40
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The (now updated) picture I posted just above has the actual red line drawn directly over my house as it crosses from nc to va.

Bill looks like your in the clear. I was watching the weather station and they said it's already heading northwest and continueing it's current course (w/out turning at all, and i think they expect it to turn more north) it will miss miami and areas hitting sc. but since they expect it to turn north more it's looking like southern nc to the newengland area could be in it's path.
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Old 09-14-2003, 11:07 AM   #41
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Ir was supposed to radically turn last night..but based on this...and it is to the 30 min increments, it really is very tardy in its turn. I won't breath a sigh of relief until everybody is out of danger. Still going very mostly west. Since I am tracking by 30 min intervals, I see the true course quickly.

Next post is the 1 o'clock est.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA...-vis-loop.html

Notice how it is still very mostly west on this link.

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Old 09-14-2003, 11:13 AM   #42
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1PM Sun.


It has got to turn in one hell of a hurry. Those models were not based on 12MPH forward motion but 8mph forward motion. This attachment is dead accurate...regardless of who says what.

Last edited by Bill Roberts; 09-14-2003 at 11:20 AM..
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Old 09-14-2003, 12:54 PM   #43
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check out this pic
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Old 09-14-2003, 01:00 PM   #44
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Looks like the twin hammers of "the wall" by Floyd in that eye.

Thanks for sharing Sykikchimp.

I got the hatch looking pretty good...time for the primer. Been sanding most of the last hour.
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Old 09-14-2003, 08:47 PM   #45
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Damn, that doesn't look good bill...stupid storms.

I really find them facinating but horribly scary at the same time.
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Old 09-14-2003, 10:29 PM   #46
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Monday morning, has not turned, I said so...Fl beware....
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